Saturday's Cincinnati first round pits Kayla Day against Shuai Zhang on hard. Shuai Zhang is 4-6 across recent matches. Kayla Day is 3-7 across recent matches.
Shuai Zhang is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Zhang around 67%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zhang.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Kayla Day | Shuai Zhang |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 60.6% | 67.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.1% | 59.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.1% | 44.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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