Segovia · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 25, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Keegan Smith vs. Luka Pavlovic — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 25, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Luka Pavlovic won 6-2 7-6

Missed it — and it stays on the record. We had Keegan Smith at 65%, but Luka Pavlovic won 6-2 7-6.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Keegan Smith goes up against Luka Pavlovic in the Segovia semifinal. Keegan Smith brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Luka Pavlovic is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Smith should have enough here, though Pavlovic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Keegan Smith

1671

Luka Pavlovic

1699

Overall rating

Keegan Smith

1695

Luka Pavlovic

1620

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Keegan Smith	Luka Pavlovic
1st serve in	74.3%	52.6%
1st serve points won	70.5%	75.8%
2nd serve points won	55.9%	47.1%

Form

Keegan Smith

7–3

Luka Pavlovic

5–5

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Smith vs Pavlovic history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Keegan Smith vs Luka Pavlovic at Segovia?: Luka Pavlovic won 6-2 7-6.
Was the Keegan Smith vs Luka Pavlovic prediction correct?: Missed it — and it stays on the record. We had Keegan Smith at 65%, but Luka Pavlovic won 6-2 7-6.
What is the head-to-head record between Keegan Smith and Luka Pavlovic?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.