Friday's Jinan quarterfinal pits Keegan Smith against Martin Landaluce on hard. Martin Landaluce comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Keegan Smith has won 7 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Landaluce is exactly that — a lean.