Jinan · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 13, 2026, 4:35 AM UTC
Keegan Smith vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 13, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Keegan Smith won 7-6 3-6 6-3
Missed it. We had Stefanos Sakellaridis at 52%, but Keegan Smith won 7-6 3-6 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Keegan Smith goes up against Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Jinan round of 32. Stefanos Sakellaridis has dropped 4 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Keegan Smith comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Sakellaridis gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Keegan Smith
1642
Stefanos Sakellaridis
1625
Overall rating
Keegan Smith
1672
Stefanos Sakellaridis
1630
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Keegan Smith
Stefanos Sakellaridis
1st serve in
73.3%
58.7%
1st serve points won
70.1%
71.3%
2nd serve points won
54.5%
53.4%
Form
Keegan Smith
5–5
Stefanos Sakellaridis
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Keegan Smith vs Stefanos Sakellaridis at Jinan?
Keegan Smith won 7-6 3-6 6-3.
Was the Keegan Smith vs Stefanos Sakellaridis prediction correct?
Missed it. We had Stefanos Sakellaridis at 52%, but Keegan Smith won 7-6 3-6 6-3.