Tuesday's Ningbo round of 32 pits Keegan Smith against Yu Hsiou Hsu on hard. Keegan Smith is 6-4 across recent matches. Yu Hsiou Hsu limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Smith has been winning 70.7% of first-serve points to Hsu's 65.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Smith.