Kimberly Birrell and Sonay Kartal meet in the round of 32 at Osaka on Tuesday. Sonay Kartal brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Kimberly Birrell has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten.

Sonay Kartal is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kartal around 64%. The edge belongs to Kartal — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.