Kyrian Jacquet and Luciano Darderi meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Friday. Luciano Darderi has won 6 of the last 10. Kyrian Jacquet is 4-6 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Jacquet comes in off a compressed schedule; Darderi comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Darderi fractionally more likely to land the big points.