Laura Pigossi and Maria Lourdes Carle meet in the round of 32 at Curitiba (Brazil) on Tuesday. Maria Lourdes Carle limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Laura Pigossi limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Maria Lourdes Carle simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Carle.