Tuesday's Bari (Italy) round of 32 pits Laurent Lokoli against Pol Martin Tiffon on clay. Pol Martin Tiffon is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Laurent Lokoli limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Pol Martin Tiffon simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tiffon fractionally more likely to land the big points.