Antofagasta · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 10, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Saturday's Antofagasta semifinal pits Lautaro Midon against Thiago Seyboth Wild on clay. Thiago Seyboth Wild is rolling — 10 straight wins, 10 of 10 in recent play. Lautaro Midon has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
The serve is where this match separates: Wild has been winning 68.8% of first-serve points to Midon's 63.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Midon comes in off a compressed schedule; Wild comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Wild — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-184(64.7% Wild)
Market-209(67.7% Wild)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Lautaro Midon
1680
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1767
Overall rating
Lautaro Midon
1681
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1750
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Lautaro Midon
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1st serve in
60.6%
63.3%
1st serve points won
63.8%
68.8%
2nd serve points won
48.6%
49.7%
Form
Lautaro Midon
7–3
Thiago Seyboth Wild
10–0
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Maiden gives Thiago Seyboth Wild a 65% chance to beat Lautaro Midon in the Antofagasta semifinal on October 10, 2026.
How confident is the Thiago Seyboth Wild pick?
65% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 65%, picks in that range have won 64% of the time (441 so far). See the track record page for the full table.