Tuesday's Strasbourg round of 16 pits Leylah Fernandez against Magdalena Frech on clay. Leylah Fernandez is 7-3 across recent matches. Magdalena Frech has won 4 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Leylah Fernandez, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Magdalena Frech. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Fernandez — worth more than the overall number this week.

Leylah Fernandez simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Fernandez — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.