A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Leylah Fernandez goes up against Maja Chwalinska in the Singapore semifinal. Leylah Fernandez is 6-4 across recent matches. Maja Chwalinska comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Fernandez has been winning 64.8% of first-serve points to Chwalinska's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Fernandez gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Leylah Fernandez | Maja Chwalinska |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.8% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.8% | 58% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.3% | 46.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.