Friday's Toronto round of 32 pits Leylah Fernandez against Mirra Andreeva on hard. Mirra Andreeva is 8-2 across recent matches. Leylah Fernandez has won 4 of the last 10.

Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Andreeva around 71%. The edge belongs to Andreeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.