Friday's Toronto round of 32 pits Leylah Fernandez against Mirra Andreeva on hard. Mirra Andreeva is 8-2 across recent matches. Leylah Fernandez has won 4 of the last 10.
Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Andreeva around 71%. The edge belongs to Andreeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Leylah Fernandez | Mirra Andreeva |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.8% | 62.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.8% | 63.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.3% | 45% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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