A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Leyre Romero Gormaz goes up against Polona Hercog in the Tolentino round of 32. Leyre Romero Gormaz limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Polona Hercog limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gormaz is exactly that — a lean.