Saturday's Winnipeg semifinal pits Liam Draxl against Shintaro Mochizuki on hard. Liam Draxl comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Shintaro Mochizuki has won 7 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Liam Draxl is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Draxl around 71%. Draxl comes in off a compressed schedule; Mochizuki comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Draxl — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Liam Draxl | Shintaro Mochizuki |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.5% | 51.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.3% | 69% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.4% | 46.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
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