Winnipeg · F · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 26, 2026, 5:05 PM UTC

Liam Draxl vs. Toby Samuel — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 26, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Toby Samuel won 6-4 6-2

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 63% on Toby Samuel, who won 6-4 6-2.

Sunday brings the Winnipeg final: Liam Draxl against Toby Samuel. Toby Samuel has won 4 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Liam Draxl has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Draxl comes in off a compressed schedule; Samuel comes in off a compressed schedule. Samuel should have enough here, though Draxl has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Liam Draxl

1736

Toby Samuel

1931

Overall rating

Liam Draxl

1703

Toby Samuel

1813

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Liam Draxl	Toby Samuel
1st serve in	64.6%	64.9%
1st serve points won	70.4%	68.2%
2nd serve points won	49.5%	55.1%

Form

Liam Draxl

7–3

Toby Samuel

6–4

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Draxl vs Samuel history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Liam Draxl vs Toby Samuel at Winnipeg?: Toby Samuel won 6-4 6-2.
Was the Liam Draxl vs Toby Samuel prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 63% on Toby Samuel, who won 6-4 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Liam Draxl and Toby Samuel?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.