Liam Draxl and Tomas Machac meet in the quarterfinal at Jinan on Friday. Tomas Machac is 4-6 across recent matches. Liam Draxl has won 6 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Draxl comes in off a compressed schedule; Machac comes in off a compressed schedule. Machac should have enough here, though Draxl has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Liam Draxl | Tomas Machac |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.6% | 62.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.3% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.5% | 52.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.