Lilli Tagger and Sara Bejlek meet in the round of 16 at Athens (Greece) on Wednesday. Lilli Tagger limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Sara Bejlek comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The serve is where this match separates: Tagger has been winning 66.2% of first-serve points to Bejlek's 58.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tagger fractionally more likely to land the big points.