Lilli Tagger and Sara Bejlek meet in the round of 16 at Athens (Greece) on Wednesday. Lilli Tagger limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Sara Bejlek comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The serve is where this match separates: Tagger has been winning 66.2% of first-serve points to Bejlek's 58.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tagger fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Lilli Tagger | Sara Bejlek |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 68.3% | 69.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.2% | 58.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.4% | 47.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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