Lilli Tagger won 7-5 6-3
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 58% on Tereza Valentova; Lilli Tagger won 7-5 6-3.
Lilli Tagger and Tereza Valentova meet in the round of 16 at Osaka on Wednesday. Tereza Valentova is 6-4 across recent matches. Lilli Tagger has won 5 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Valentova comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Valentova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Lilli Tagger | Tereza Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.9% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.1% | 63.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.2% | 46% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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