Lilli Tagger and Venus Williams meet in the round of 32 at Guangzhou on Tuesday. Lilli Tagger has won 4 of the last 10. Venus Williams limps in on a 10-match losing skid, just 0 wins in 10.

Lilli Tagger is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Tagger around 78%. If Tagger plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.