Washington · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 27, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Liudmila Samsonova vs. Madison Keys — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 27, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Liudmila Samsonova won 3-6 6-4 6-4

A miss: Madison Keys at 65% lost to Liudmila Samsonova (3-6 6-4 6-4). It stays up, like every other miss.

Monday's Washington round of 32 pits Liudmila Samsonova against Madison Keys on hard. Madison Keys comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Liudmila Samsonova has won 4 of the last 10.

Madison Keys has had the better of this rivalry, winning 5 of 6 against Liudmila Samsonova. On hard specifically it reads 3-0 Keys — worth more than the overall number this week.

Madison Keys simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Keys.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Liudmila Samsonova

1722

Madison Keys

1892

Overall rating

Liudmila Samsonova

1798

Madison Keys

1982

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Liudmila Samsonova	Madison Keys
1st serve in	56%	64.4%
1st serve points won	69.3%	65.6%
2nd serve points won	47.2%	44.8%

Form

Liudmila Samsonova

4–6

Madison Keys

8–2

Head to head

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 5-1. On hard: 3-0 Madison Keys.

Full Samsonova vs Keys history →

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys at Washington?: Liudmila Samsonova won 3-6 6-4 6-4.
Was the Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys prediction correct?: A miss: Madison Keys at 65% lost to Liudmila Samsonova (3-6 6-4 6-4). It stays up, like every other miss.
What is the head-to-head record between Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys?: Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 5-1. On hard: 3-0 Madison Keys.