Liudmila Samsonova won 7-5 6-7 6-2
Nailed it. We had Liudmila Samsonova at 61% before the match, and Liudmila Samsonova won 7-5 6-7 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Liudmila Samsonova goes up against Maya Joint in the Toronto round of 32. Liudmila Samsonova has won 7 of the last 10. Maya Joint is 4-6 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Samsonova has been winning 69.4% of first-serve points to Joint's 60%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Samsonova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Liudmila Samsonova | Maya Joint |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 55.9% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.4% | 60% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.1% | 46.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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