A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Lloyd Harris goes up against Luka Pavlovic in the Jingshan round of 16. Lloyd Harris is 6-4 across recent matches. Luka Pavlovic is 7-3 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Harris comes in off a compressed schedule. Harris should have enough here, though Pavlovic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.