Lloyd Harris and Marat Sharipov meet in the round of 16 at Guangzhou 2 on Wednesday. Lloyd Harris is 6-4 across recent matches. Marat Sharipov has won 6 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Harris comes in off a compressed schedule; Sharipov comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Harris is exactly that — a lean.