Wednesday's US Open round of 64 pits Lloyd Harris against Stefanos Tsitsipas on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas is 6-4 across recent matches. Lloyd Harris comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Stefanos Tsitsipas simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tsitsipas.