Lloyd Harris and Valentin Vacherot meet in the round of 16 at Chengdu on Saturday. Valentin Vacherot comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Lloyd Harris is 6-4 across recent matches.

Valentin Vacherot is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Vacherot around 65%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Vacherot.