Lorenzo Giustino and Matej Dodig meet in the round of 16 at Hagen on Thursday. Matej Dodig comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Lorenzo Giustino comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Matej Dodig is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Dodig around 67%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Dodig.