Monday's Lyon (France) round of 32 pits Lorenzo Musetti against Matteo Arnaldi on clay. Lorenzo Musetti has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Matteo Arnaldi is 4-6 across recent matches.
Lorenzo Musetti has had the better of this rivalry, winning 3 of 3 against Matteo Arnaldi. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Musetti — worth more than the overall number this week.
Lorenzo Musetti simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Musetti gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Lorenzo Musetti | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.8% | 58.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.3% | 70.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52% | 50% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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