A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Lorenzo Musetti goes up against Michael Zheng in the Cincinnati round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti has won 7 of the last 10. Michael Zheng is 6-4 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Musetti should have enough here, though Zheng has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.