Washington · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 31, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Rafael Jodar — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 31, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Rafael Jodar won 1-6 6-1 6-4

We got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on Lorenzo Musetti; Rafael Jodar won 1-6 6-1 6-4.

Lorenzo Musetti and Rafael Jodar meet in the quarterfinal at Washington on Friday. Lorenzo Musetti brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Rafael Jodar has won 8 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Musetti is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Lorenzo Musetti

1946

Rafael Jodar

1898

Overall rating

Lorenzo Musetti

2015

Rafael Jodar

2070

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Lorenzo Musetti	Rafael Jodar
1st serve in	63.7%	62.7%
1st serve points won	69.6%	69.3%
2nd serve points won	51.7%	52.7%

Form

Lorenzo Musetti

7–3

Rafael Jodar

8–2

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Pick: Musetti

Frequently asked questions

Who won Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar at Washington?: Rafael Jodar won 1-6 6-1 6-4.
Was the Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar prediction correct?: We got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on Lorenzo Musetti; Rafael Jodar won 1-6 6-1 6-4.