Rafael Jodar won 1-6 6-1 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on Lorenzo Musetti; Rafael Jodar won 1-6 6-1 6-4.
Lorenzo Musetti and Rafael Jodar meet in the quarterfinal at Washington on Friday. Lorenzo Musetti brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Rafael Jodar has won 8 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Musetti is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Lorenzo Musetti | Rafael Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.7% | 62.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.6% | 69.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.7% | 52.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.