A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Lorenzo Sonego goes up against Raphael Collignon in the Gstaad round of 16. Raphael Collignon has won 6 of the last 10. Lorenzo Sonego comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Raphael Collignon simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Collignon.