Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta meet in the round of 16 at Estoril on Thursday. Pablo Carreno Busta comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Luca Van Assche has won 8 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Luca Van Assche, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Pablo Carreno Busta.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Busta comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Busta — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Luca Van Assche | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.5% | 65.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.6% | 68.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.8% | 49.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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