A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Luca Van Assche goes up against Valentin Vacherot in the Lyon (France) round of 16. Valentin Vacherot is 6-4 across recent matches. Luca Van Assche limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Vacherot has been winning 72.5% of first-serve points to Assche's 66.4%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Vacherot fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Luca Van Assche | Valentin Vacherot |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.9% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.4% | 72.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.7% | 49.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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