Luca Van Assche and Y. Bu meet in the first round at Shanghai on Thursday. Y. Bu is 6-4 across recent matches. Luca Van Assche is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 72% versus 66.4% on first-serve points in Bu's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bu is exactly that — a lean.