Monday's Vienna round of 32 pits Luciano Darderi against Matteo Arnaldi on hard. Luciano Darderi is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10). Matteo Arnaldi is 4-6 across recent matches.

Luciano Darderi is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Darderi around 54%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Darderi is exactly that — a lean.