Thursday's Estoril round of 16 pits Luciano Darderi against Pedro Martinez on clay. Luciano Darderi has won 6 of the last 10. Pedro Martinez has won 4 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Luciano Darderi, 3-1 across their 4 meetings with Pedro Martinez. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Darderi — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Darderi has been winning 70.5% of first-serve points to Martinez's 64.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Martinez needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Luciano Darderi | Pedro Martinez |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.9% | 66.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.5% | 64.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.1% | 49.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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