Friday's Braga quarterfinal pits Luka Mikrut against Vilius Gaubas on clay. Luka Mikrut has won 8 of the last 10. Vilius Gaubas comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Mikrut has been winning 70.9% of first-serve points to Gaubas's 65%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Mikrut comes in off a compressed schedule; Gaubas comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Mikrut — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Luka Mikrut | Vilius Gaubas |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.9% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.9% | 65% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49% | 51% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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