Mattia Bellucci won 6-4 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 62% on Mattia Bellucci, who won 6-4 6-4.
Thursday's Jinan round of 16 pits Luka Pavlovic against Mattia Bellucci on hard. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Luka Pavlovic has won 6 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Pavlovic comes in off a compressed schedule. Bellucci should have enough here, though Pavlovic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Luka Pavlovic | Mattia Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 51.8% | 60.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 75.5% | 70.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.4% | 51.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.