A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Luka Pavlovic goes up against Tristan Schoolkate in the Jinan round of 32. Tristan Schoolkate comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Luka Pavlovic has won 6 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Schoolkate fractionally more likely to land the big points.