A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Mackenzie Mcdonald goes up against Toby Samuel in the Porto round of 32. Toby Samuel has won 8 of the last 10. Mackenzie Mcdonald is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Toby Samuel is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Samuel around 63%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Samuel.