French Open · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · May 30, 2026, 7:25 PM UTC

Madison Keys vs. Victoria Mboko — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 30, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Madison Keys won 6-3 5-7 7-5 · May 30, 2026, 10:10 PM UTC

We got this one right. Madison Keys was our 79% pick, and won 6-3 5-7 7-5.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Madison Keys goes up against Victoria Mboko in the French Open round of 32. Madison Keys brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Victoria Mboko has won 7 of the last 10.

The rivalry is dead level: 1-1 across 2 matches. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Keys — worth more than the overall number this week.

Madison Keys simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Mboko needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Madison Keys

1865

Victoria Mboko

1724

Overall rating

Madison Keys

1987

Victoria Mboko

2024

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Madison Keys	Victoria Mboko
1st serve in	64.3%	65.6%
1st serve points won	65.4%	66.6%
2nd serve points won	44.2%	44.9%

Form

Madison Keys

8–2

Victoria Mboko

7–3

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 1-1. On clay: 1-0 Madison Keys.

Full Keys vs Mboko history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko at French Open?: Madison Keys won 6-3 5-7 7-5.
Was the Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko prediction correct?: We got this one right. Madison Keys was our 79% pick, and won 6-3 5-7 7-5.
What is the head-to-head record between Madison Keys and Victoria Mboko?: The head-to-head is level at 1-1. On clay: 1-0 Madison Keys.