Beijing · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC · Cancelled
Magdalena Frech vs Petra Marcinko — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 30, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Magdalena Frech and Petra Marcinko meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Magdalena Frech is 5-5 across recent matches. Petra Marcinko is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (4 of the last 10).
Magdalena Frech simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Frech should have enough here, though Marcinko has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-156(60.9% Frech)
Market-194(66.0% Frech)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Magdalena Frech
1733
Petra Marcinko
1464
Overall rating
Magdalena Frech
1745
Petra Marcinko
1667
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Magdalena Frech
Petra Marcinko
1st serve in
62.7%
60.3%
1st serve points won
62.9%
63.4%
2nd serve points won
45.2%
42.6%
Form
Magdalena Frech
5–5
Petra Marcinko
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Magdalena Frech vs Petra Marcinko?
Maiden gives Magdalena Frech a 61% chance to beat Petra Marcinko in the Beijing first round on September 30, 2026.
How confident is the Magdalena Frech pick?
61% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 61%, picks in that range have won 67% of the time (161 so far). See the track record page for the full table.