Friday's Olbia quarterfinal pits Maks Kasnikowski against Stefano Travaglia on hard. Stefano Travaglia has won 5 of the last 10. Maks Kasnikowski has won 6 of the last 10.

Stefano Travaglia simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Travaglia is exactly that — a lean.