Newport · SF · Grass · best of 3 · Jul 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Maria — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · July 11, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Tatjana Maria won 6-2 6-1
Nailed it. We had Tatjana Maria at 52% before the match, and Tatjana Maria won 6-2 6-1.
Saturday's Newport semifinal pits Mananchaya Sawangkaew against Tatjana Maria on grass. Tatjana Maria brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Mananchaya Sawangkaew brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. Sawangkaew comes in off a compressed schedule; Maria comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Maria is exactly that — a lean.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Maria at Newport?
Tatjana Maria won 6-2 6-1.
Was the Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Maria prediction correct?
Nailed it. We had Tatjana Maria at 52% before the match, and Tatjana Maria won 6-2 6-1.
What is the head-to-head record between Mananchaya Sawangkaew and Tatjana Maria?