Friday's Cali quarterfinal pits Manuel La Serna Juan against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 6 of the last 10. Manuel La Serna Juan is 6-4 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Almeida fractionally more likely to land the big points.