Cali · QF · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 23, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC
Manuel La Serna Juan vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 23, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-4 4-6 7-5
Nailed it. We had Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida at 59% before the match, and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-4 4-6 7-5.
Friday's Cali quarterfinal pits Manuel La Serna Juan against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 6 of the last 10. Manuel La Serna Juan is 6-4 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Almeida fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Manuel La Serna Juan
1588
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1720
Overall rating
Manuel La Serna Juan
1581
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1677
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Manuel La Serna Juan
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1st serve in
66.7%
63.3%
1st serve points won
63.3%
64.7%
2nd serve points won
49.5%
49.1%
Form
Manuel La Serna Juan
6–4
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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