Sunday brings the Guangzhou 2 final: Marat Sharipov against Pavel Kotov. Pavel Kotov brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Marat Sharipov has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Sharipov comes in off a compressed schedule; Kotov arrives with very little recovery time. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kotov fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Marat Sharipov | Pavel Kotov |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 58.2% | 64.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 76.7% | 70.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.2% | 49.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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