Marco Cecchinato and Marco Trungelliti meet in the quarterfinal at Szczecin on Friday. Marco Trungelliti has won 5 of the last 10. Marco Cecchinato has won 6 of the last 10.

Marco Trungelliti is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Trungelliti around 57%. Cecchinato comes in off a compressed schedule; Trungelliti comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Trungelliti fractionally more likely to land the big points.