Thursday's Szczecin round of 16 pits Marco Cecchinato against Marvin Moeller on clay. Marco Cecchinato is 6-4 across recent matches. Marvin Moeller comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cecchinato fractionally more likely to land the big points.