A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Marco Cecchinato goes up against Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Umag round of 32. Marco Cecchinato is 6-4 across recent matches. Roman Andres Burruchaga limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.
Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cecchinato fractionally more likely to land the big points.