Marco Trungelliti and T. Pereira meet in the round of 32 at Lisbon on Tuesday. Marco Trungelliti is 5-5 across recent matches. T. Pereira limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Marco Trungelliti simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Trungelliti win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.